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IMF increases gloom in financial markets

IMF Moneyizor.com has a piece on the International Monetary Fund’s latest Global Financial Stability Report, in which it claims losses by financial institutions are set to rise to $1 trillion (£500 billion).

Moneyizor comments :

On the day when the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, the Halifax, reported a staggering 2.5pc drop in house prices in March alone, the IMF warns governments, central banks and regulators that they now face a test of their mettle unique in modern times.

… the Fund remarks, “The critical challenge now facing policymakers is to take immediate steps to mitigate the risks of an even more wrenching adjustment.”

The report indicates that this downturn is about more than just liquidity, as some commentators are still arguing, but is rooted in “deep-seated fragilities” among banks with too little capital. This “means that its effects are likely to be broader, deeper and more protracted.”

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Fed cuts rates to head off world recession

Recession The United States’ Federal Reserve has intervened dramatically to cut base rates by a whopping 75 basis points or 0.75 percent, indicating that it regards recession as a real threat to the US economy. This is the single biggest cut by the Fed in 20 years.

Despite the out-of-synch announcement, the markets are currently less than impressed, regarding it as a panic measure. The White House has also weighed in with the President saying he is considering an even bigger fiscal stimulus than the recently announced $150billion.

London markets have lost around 13 percent of value in only three weeks, heralding a worldwide bear market.

Syntagma has an in-depth analysis of the upcoming recession. Here’s a taster :

As we’ve been saying here in Syntagma for some months, a long, deep worldwide recession now looks more likely than not. Opinions are hardening among key players, principally in America and Britain.

Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal proclaimed : “U.S. warning signs point toward deep recession”.

Now even the insurance companies, or Monolines, that underwrite possible defaults, are also in trouble, with two of the biggest in the U.S. said to be close to Chapter 11 status (a form of bankruptcy protection against creditors).

Clearly, with the Fed and the White House in fighting mode something nasty is moving in the undergrowth.

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NYSE-Euronext loses Thain to Merrill

Wall Street NYSE-Euronext suffered its first major setback last week as CEO John Thain, 52, looked poised to replace Stan O’Neal as boss of Merrill Lynch.

Wall Street was shocked at the news as Larry Fink had seemed quids in for the post. Thain was formerly President of Goldman Sachs.

The move leaves a hole at the top of stock exchange group NYSE-Euronext as the man who forged the transatlantic merger jumps ship.

Chief operating officer Duncan Niederauer looks poised to take control.

Merrill’s share jumped 5 percent as Wall Street absorbed the news.

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Dow Jones goes to Rupert Murdoch

Dow Jones, owner of The Wall Street Journal is being sold to Rupert Murdoch’s News International.

Dow Jones is reported to have agreed a $5 billion. Negotiations have been completed and the board is confident the terms of the deal will be accepted by the Bancroft family, which controls a majority of voting shares in Dow Jones, over the next few days. A formal announcement is expected next week.

The Business Online exclusively reports :

Murdoch’s News Corporation will take over America’s most prestigious financial publisher at the price he originally offered on April 17, when he proposed $60 a share when the stock was trading at $36, a 67% premium … The arrangement is a tougher version of the one put in place by the British government when Murdoch bought The Times and The Sunday Times in 1981. Murdoch will have less control over the independent directors at the Journal than he does at Times Newspapers, where they are regarded as weak and ineffectual. But one source, acting for the Bancrofts, admitted privately that the Dow independent panel was only a “fig leaf” to facilitate the sale and that over time Murdoch would get round it.

Stay tuned for more news from the billabong.

Update: Wired is reporting a refutation of this story : “An article published on Thebusinessonline.com this morning stating that an agreement in principle has been reached for the sale of Dow Jones & Company to News Corp is incorrect.”

Heads up Robert Scoble.

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