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Freefall for UK economy

Gordon Brown Economic forecasters are now turning away from the much-hyped V-shaped recovery pattern, and even a more leisurely U-shape, to a wobbly “W”, or double-dip delayed type of recovery for the UK economy.

The recently pushed swift bounce back is looking increasingly lame.

New figures clearly show that the economy shrank by 2.4pc in the first quarter of this year. This is a revised number down from the 1.9pc previously reported.

It illustrates that the UK is in a much worse downturn than many expected and so-called green shoots of recovery are isolated statistical blips.

It’s clear the British economy is still in freefall. As in the 1980s, the biggest decline has been in manufacturing. While the public sector has continued to grow, the makers of things have taken blow after blow.

The weakest sectors have been new housebuilding and car making.

This is beginning to look very serious indeed for UK industry and any company in the private sector.

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Is London still the world’s financial capital?

Amid all the gloom of a gathering depression and a bout of deflation, is London still the financial capital of the world?

It may not be a useful question to ask especially since all the others have been affected in the same way, and Wall Street practically wiped out.

However, here’s a little bit of nostalgia from this site showing how it was just a few short months ago:

In a survey of financial executives by the Global Financial Centres Index, London scored well ahead of its rivals, and even extended its lead.

London did better than New York on an array of topics, including personnel, business environment, market access, facilities and competitiveness.

The City scored 806 out of 1000, compared with nearest rival New York’s 787. Trailing behind came Hong Kong, Singapore, Zurich and Frankfurt.

Again London is reaffirmed as the world’s financial capital.

You couldn’t make it up.

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Bank cuts rates to two percent

Bank of England An hour ago, the Bank of England duly obliged on expectations and cut interest rates by 100 basis points to two percent, the lowest figure since 1951.

Other central banks are slashing rates too.

Sweden’s central bank today cut its key rate by a record 175 basis points, to two percent, the largest since 1992 when the country famously nationalized its major banks.

New Zealand also announced a cut of 150 basis points to a five-year low of five percent. Further cuts are on the cards.

Indonesia made a surprise 25 basis-point cut to its rate, to 9.25 percent.

Yesterday, the Bank of Thailand cut rates by 100 basis points to 2.75 percent, some of which may have been due to recent political turmoil in the country.

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia surprised markets with a 100 basis-point cut to 4.25 percent.

The European Central Bank is expected to cut again today, but signals are mixed. The Shadow ECB has called for swift, deep cuts from its current rate of 3.25 percent. However, voices close to the ECB warned not to expect them.

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LSE suspends trading after crash

LSE Crashes Trading on the LSE’s electronic platform was shut down this morning on one of its busiest days of the year.

The timing of the shutdown is unfortunate for the LSE, which is facing increased competition from rival trading platforms such as Turquoise, a Europe-wide platform set up by a number of the world’s biggest investment banks.

Another rival, Chi-X, claims to have taken over 15 percent of trading in FTSE 100 stocks recently.

To counteract the challenge, the LSE slashed trading fees at the start of this month in response to a partial launch of Turquoise, which is not due to start trading proper until October.

Today’s debacle was thought by the BBC’s Business Editor Robert Peston, to have serious consequences for the exchange. A great deal of money was tied up in the system, money that could not be used in a rapidly rising market.

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