A version of this article appeared in Syntagma recently.

Gold rushes come and go in the world’s innovation capital, California. But when they go … they really go.

The City of Vallejo in California has filed for Chapter 9 bankruptcy, making history it seems. Half Moon Bay, home to some internet digerati, may well be next. According to John Moorlach, Orange County board chief, “This is the tip of the iceberg: everybody is going to line up for Chapter 9 in California.”

What can it mean to people on the ground when their city goes belly up? What of their assets, houses etcetera? It will be interesting to watch this pan out.

According to Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers American house prices are likely to fall 25pc from peak to trough. With between 10m and 12m households in negative equity already, there’s still a way to go.

Shares across the developed world are set for big falls too. Albert Edward Société Générale’s global strategist says, “Nowhere and nothing will be immune. We are on the cusp of an equity meltdown that will slash and shred portfolios. We see a global recession unfolding. Liquidity will drain away and crush the twin emerging market and commodity bubbles. The recent hope that ‘the worst might be over’ is truly staggering. Profits are disintegrating.”

Ambrose Evans Pritchard of the Telegraph (UK) — ever the Cassandra — says pointedly, “Britain, Europe, Japan, and China will go down before America comes back up. This is turning into a synchronised bust, after all. The Global Slump of 2008-09 is under way.”

The Bank of England and the European Central Bank are still stubbornly refusing to cut rates because of inflation fears, which will be the least of our miseries in the next two years and should abate soon as global demand falls off the much-imagined cliff.

It’s probably true that Ben Bernanke’s Federal Reserve has saved the U.S. and other countries from another Great Depression. But nothing can stop a slump now because it’s already happening.

Clara Furse is the Chief Executive of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) and a veteran in the world of finance.

The 50-year-old investment banker started her career in the City of London almost two decades ago. She has spent most of that time working in the cutting edge world of financial derivatives, such as futures and options, and gaining a range of top jobs along the way.

Jobs included, Group Chief Executive of Credit Lyonnais Rouse from 1998 to 2000; Director of LIFFE from 1991 to 1999, and Deputy Chairman from 1997 to 1999.

She was at Phillips & Drew (now UBS) from 1983 to 1998 and became a Director in 1988, Executive Director in 1992, Managing Director in 1995, Global Head of Futures in 1996. She is a Non-Executive Director of Euroclear plc, LCH.Clearnet and RICS Foundation.

She was appointed Chief Executive of the LSE in January 2001.

Moneyizor.com has a piece on the International Monetary Fund’s latest Global Financial Stability Report, in which it claims losses by financial institutions are set to rise to $1 trillion (£500 billion).

Moneyizor comments :

On the day when the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, the Halifax, reported a staggering 2.5pc drop in house prices in March alone, the IMF warns governments, central banks and regulators that they now face a test of their mettle unique in modern times.

… the Fund remarks, “The critical challenge now facing policymakers is to take immediate steps to mitigate the risks of an even more wrenching adjustment.”

The report indicates that this downturn is about more than just liquidity, as some commentators are still arguing, but is rooted in “deep-seated fragilities” among banks with too little capital. This “means that its effects are likely to be broader, deeper and more protracted.”

Clara Furse, Chief Executuve of the London Stock Exchange, is under fire for a neat shimmy that will save her around £400,000 ($800,000) in tax.

The move transferred £5.1m ($10m) of shares in the LSE to her husband on the eve of the government’s changes to capital gains tax. It means she will pay only 10pc in CGT, instead of the new rate of 18pc which comes into force next Monday. This translates to a possible saving of £408,000 and an exposure to the new rate only on increases in the value of the shares.

Lib-Dem Treasury spokesman and political flavour of the month, Vince Cable, called it a “clever dodge”.

As the man said though, “No-one is under any obligation to help the authorities increase their take from one’s personal income”.